Pakistan Population Projections to 2050
Pakistan population projections to 2050 — growth rate, crude birth and death rates, fertility and the urban/rural split.
Population right now
260,438,977
As of PKT
Interpolated continuously between the 2026 and 2027 mid-year reference figures · UN WPP projection for 2026
- Births today
- —
- Deaths today
- —
- Net migration today
- —
- Net change today
- —
Annual growth
1.61%
4,288,308 people a year
Median age
20.8
Half the population is younger
Density
337.8
People per km² of 770,880 km²
Share of world
3.14%
Rank 5 of all countries
Fertility rate
3.44
Births per woman
Life expectancy
67.8
Years at birth (2024)
Urban population
39.8%
103,268,735 people
Under 15
36.2%
A young age structure (2025)
Population to 2050
Pakistan is projected to reach 371,863,793 people by 2050 — the UN medium variant, interpolated to single years.
- Observed
- Projected
View as table
| Year | Population | Growth | Median age | Urban | Basis |
|---|
Births and deaths per 1,000 people
The widening-then-narrowing gap between these two lines is the demographic transition.
- Births per 1,000
- Deaths per 1,000
View as table
| Year | Births/1,000 | Deaths/1,000 | Fertility | Life exp. |
|---|
Urban and rural population
Urban Pakistan is projected to pass 48% of the population by 2050.
- Urban
- Rural
View as table
| Year | Urban | Rural | Urban share |
|---|
Annual growth rate
Percent change per year, observed and projected.
- Observed
- Projected
How the live figure is calculated
Official figures are published once a year, for 1 July. The counter interpolates between the 2026 and 2027 figures on a compound-growth curve, which is how demographic series are meant to be read between reference dates, and keeps the curve smooth across year boundaries. Births and deaths are then split out of that year’s total change in proportion to the crude birth rate (27.4 per 1,000) and crude death rate (6.4 per 1,000), so that births − deaths + net migration always equals the published annual change exactly. Nothing here is a live census: the figure is interpolated from the published annual series.
Figures from World Bank Open Data (CC BY 4.0) and the UN Population Division. Dataset built 5 October 2026; vital rates are the most recent reported year for each indicator.